Skip to main content

Week 9 DraftKings Pricing First Glance

Latavius Murray went absolutely off again, scoring 39.7 DraftKings points and was the third-highest-scoring
player on the slate. Having the lead role at $5,800 should have been a signal to everyone
to play him, especially in a primo matchup against the Cardinals. 


Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me.

That ... that right there? That's the only thing we need to be saying about Latavius Murray.

With Alvin Kamara ruled out again in Week 8, all DFS players should have found the way to lock Murray into their lineups. In large-field tournaments, he was only 28 percent owned, which is far too low based on the first week we saw him take the feature-back role with Kamara out. He should've been close to 50 percent owned at $5,800.

Especially considering Drew Brees was making his return and teams would have to start respecting the quarterback play a little bit more than when Teddy Bridgewater was under center. That matchup with the Cardinals was an absolute lock to be a smash-spot for Murray, and he didn't let people down.

So, the lesson to be learned here is simple: don't look a gift horse in the mouth.

When the slate presents you with a player who has a proven track record as being a quality back, and is now getting feature-back workload in a matchup against one of the league's worst defenses, you don't fade it. You jam it in.

After my first run through Week 9's slate on DraftKings, this is what I see:

QB

High-End Plays

Russell Wilson $7,100 (vs. Tampa Bay)
Matthew Stafford $6,800 (at Oakland) 
Kirk Cousins $6,700 (at Kansas City)

Value Plays

Jameis Winston $6,100 (at Seattle)
Derek Carr $5,500 (vs. Detroit)
Philip Rivers $5,100 (vs. Green Bay)

RB

High-End Plays

Dalvin Cook $9,500 (at Kansas City)
Le'Veon Bell $7,700 (at Miami)
Aaron Jones $7,000 (at LA Chargers)

Value Plays

Derrick Henry $5,700 (at Carolina)
Phillip Lindsay $5,300 (vs. Cleveland)

WR

High-End Plays

Kenny Golladay $7,700 (at Oakland)
Stefon Diggs $7,600 (at Kansas City)
Tyreek Hill $7,400 (vs. Minnesota)
Chris Godwin $7,300 (at Seattle)

Value Plays

DK Metcalf $5,700 (vs. Tampa Bay)
Jamison Crowder $5,100 (at Miami)
DJ Moore $4,800 (vs. Tennessee)
Allen Lazard $3,900 (at LA Chargers)

TE

High-End Plays

Travis Kelce $6,900 (vs. Minnesota)
Darren Waller $6,300 (vs. Detroit)

Value Plays

Jonnu Smith $3,800 (at Carolina) ... if Delanie Walker is out
Eric Ebron $3,600 (at Pittsburgh)
O.J. Howard $3,200 (at Seattle) ... if he's ACTIVE

DST

High-End Plays

Bills $3,800 (vs. Washington)
NY Jets $3,600 (at Miami)

Value Plays

Panthers $2,800 (vs. Tennessee)
Dolphins $2,700 (vs. NY Jets)

Stack

Tampa Bay at Seattle

Both sides of this game seem pretty appetizing. Obviously, we know what Russell Wilson can do both with his arm and his legs. He's as dynamite as they come in games where the Seahawks need to put up points in order to beat an opponent. The Buccaneers have the No. 1 rush defense, per DVOA, but are 25th against the pass. Similarly, the Seahawks can struggle against the pass -- Matt Schaub throwing for 460 yards is Exhibit A. We know the Bucs' running game is hot garbage, and the only way they're scoring points is via Jameis Winston throwing it -- granted, it doesn't go to the other team every time. I see this game probably garnering one of the highest totals of the week (Detroit-Oakland might give it a run for its money as the highest overall game total), so it might get chalky. But with options like Wilson and Winston at QB; Evans, Godwin, Lockett and Metcalf at WR; O.J. Howard or Cameron Brate at tight end; and even the Seahawks DST all as fantasy-viable options, this game has A LOT to like. 


-- By Nathan Joyce
Labels:

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Fantasy Outlook: Cam Newton

Cam Newton signed a one-year deal with the New England Patriots on Sunday evening What should you expect from 2015 MVP quarterback? Quarterback Cam Newton signed a one-year-deal with the New England Patriots worth up to $7.5 million, per league sources who told ESPN's Chris Mortensen and Adam Schefter . After suffering several injuries over the last couple seasons, including a Lisfranc injury that cost the quarterback 14 games last year, the Patriots have found their answer under center. It’s important to note that learning the Patriots playbook has been notoriously difficult and given the late timing of this signing I would follow reports out of New England very closely over the coming months to see if Newton is even ready for Week 1. Newton certainly provides an upgrade over 2019 fourth-round pick Jarrett Stidham or journeyman quarterback Bryan Hoyer and provides a small ray of hope to all those fantasy owners with New England pieces. The 2015 MVP finds himself right back i
Post a Comment
Read more

Week 7 Picks, Fades & Stacks

Leonard Fournette may have finally reached the $7,000 mark but he's still far too cheap .   My journey into the journalism world began with my love of sports. Writing sports was my passion. It was what I loved to do. My life, in fact. I wanted to be known for my writing. Published everywhere. The biggest papers in the country, the largest websites and featured on the million-viewer sports analysis shows. What I've learned about journalism and media, however, as I've gotten older, is that it's not about your byline or the amount of followers you have on social media, or even the amount of words you're allotted in a publication. Rather, it's about what you do WITH those words. Making those words have real impact. Using your byline in a way that can bring attention to causes and people who aren't million-dollar athletes or NFL superstars.  No. There are things that are bigger than football. And this is one of them. Dakovion Kennedy, a soph
Post a Comment
Read more

Week 3 Waiver Wire: How to replace Brees & Big Ben

Many fantasy owners are feeling the blow of losing Ben Roethlisberger and Drew Brees,but don't just assume you need to rush to pick up their replacements. There are PLENTY of better options.  There were some serious blows dealt during Sunday's action. It wasn't enough that the quarterback I was on since I saw the matchup with Seattle ( Ben Roethlisberger ) blew out his elbow and is requiring season-ending surgery, but fantasy stalwart Drew Brees had to go and tear  ligaments in his hand the required surgery and HE'S out for about six weeks. Like a bad infomercial ... Steelers running back James Conner left Sunday's game as well, however, test results revealed "nothing serious," according to Jeremy Fowler. Devin Singletary tweaked his hamstring and was forced from the game against the Giants -- he had six carries for 57 yards and TD before exiting. Michael Gallup injured his knee during Sunday's route of Washington and will miss 2-4
Post a Comment
Read more