Skip to main content

Week 9 DraftKings Pricing First Glance

Latavius Murray went absolutely off again, scoring 39.7 DraftKings points and was the third-highest-scoring
player on the slate. Having the lead role 
at $5,800 should have been a signal to everyone
to play him, especially in 
a primo matchup against the Cardinals. 


Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me.

That ... that right there? That's the only thing we need to be saying about Latavius Murray.

With Alvin Kamara ruled out again in Week 8, all DFS players should have found the way to lock Murray into their lineups. In large-field tournaments, he was only 28 percent owned, which is far too low based on the first week we saw him take the feature-back role with Kamara out. He should've been close to 50 percent owned at $5,800.

Especially considering Drew Brees was making his return and teams would have to start respecting the quarterback play a little bit more than when Teddy Bridgewater was under center. That matchup with the Cardinals was an absolute lock to be a smash-spot for Murray, and he didn't let people down.

So, the lesson to be learned here is simple: don't look a gift horse in the mouth.

When the slate presents you with a player who has a proven track record as being a quality back, and is now getting feature-back workload in a matchup against one of the league's worst defenses, you don't fade it. You jam it in.

After my first run through Week 9's slate on DraftKings, this is what I see:

QB

High-End Plays

Russell Wilson $7,100 (vs. Tampa Bay)
Matthew Stafford $6,800 (at Oakland) 
Kirk Cousins $6,700 (at Kansas City)

Value Plays

Jameis Winston $6,100 (at Seattle)
Derek Carr $5,500 (vs. Detroit)
Philip Rivers $5,100 (vs. Green Bay)

RB

High-End Plays

Dalvin Cook $9,500 (at Kansas City)
Le'Veon Bell $7,700 (at Miami)
Aaron Jones $7,000 (at LA Chargers)

Value Plays

Derrick Henry $5,700 (at Carolina)
Phillip Lindsay $5,300 (vs. Cleveland)

WR

High-End Plays

Kenny Golladay $7,700 (at Oakland)
Stefon Diggs $7,600 (at Kansas City)
Tyreek Hill $7,400 (vs. Minnesota)
Chris Godwin $7,300 (at Seattle)

Value Plays

DK Metcalf $5,700 (vs. Tampa Bay)
Jamison Crowder $5,100 (at Miami)
DJ Moore $4,800 (vs. Tennessee)
Allen Lazard $3,900 (at LA Chargers)

TE

High-End Plays

Travis Kelce $6,900 (vs. Minnesota)
Darren Waller $6,300 (vs. Detroit)

Value Plays

Jonnu Smith $3,800 (at Carolina) ... if Delanie Walker is out
Eric Ebron $3,600 (at Pittsburgh)
O.J. Howard $3,200 (at Seattle) ... if he's ACTIVE

DST

High-End Plays

Bills $3,800 (vs. Washington)
NY Jets $3,600 (at Miami)

Value Plays

Panthers $2,800 (vs. Tennessee)
Dolphins $2,700 (vs. NY Jets)

Stack

Tampa Bay at Seattle

Both sides of this game seem pretty appetizing. Obviously, we know what Russell Wilson can do both with his arm and his legs. He's as dynamite as they come in games where the Seahawks need to put up points in order to beat an opponent. The Buccaneers have the No. 1 rush defense, per DVOA, but are 25th against the pass. Similarly, the Seahawks can struggle against the pass -- Matt Schaub throwing for 460 yards is Exhibit A. We know the Bucs' running game is hot garbage, and the only way they're scoring points is via Jameis Winston throwing it -- granted, it doesn't go to the other team every time. I see this game probably garnering one of the highest totals of the week (Detroit-Oakland might give it a run for its money as the highest overall game total), so it might get chalky. But with options like Wilson and Winston at QB; Evans, Godwin, Lockett and Metcalf at WR; O.J. Howard or Cameron Brate at tight end; and even the Seahawks DST all as fantasy-viable options, this game has A LOT to like. 


-- By Nathan Joyce

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Week 2 Waiver Wire: Who you need to be adding

Buffalo Bills wide receiver John Brown is a must-add after Week 1. Not only does he have huge-play ability, but he's getting volume now with a quarterback in Josh Allen who isn't afraid to chuck it deep to him.  The overarching theme of Week 1 -- other than the ridiculous performances from a few guys -- was, undoubtedly, injuries. And with lots of injuries, comes even more waiver wire action. If you follow the For Fantasy Sake Facebook page , you'd know all of  the key injuries and what some of the outlooks for those players are. If you don't, tough, I'm not going over all of the injuries here, pal. Go give us a follow and keep up with the news. Now that we've got the shameless plugging out of the way -- nah, brah, I'm not above that -- let's get to the options you should be looking at to fill those voids on your roster. Go Get 'Em Tyrell Williams, WR, Oakland Raiders – 63% owned With Antonio Brown out of Oakland – how fun was it ...

Week 10 DraftKings Pricing First Glance

With six teams on bye, a lot of the top options we usually go to on DraftKings, like DeAndre Hopkins, won't be available to play. So who are we going to this week with so many fantasy studs on the sidelines?  It's officially Bye-Nado. With six teams on bye, which, obviously, shrinks the slate; but with so many teams having their week off, it diminishes the talent pool. The teams that are on bye: Denver New England Philadelphia Washington Jacksonville Houston Obviously, Washington, and even Denver to an extent, are outliers on this list. The other four, however, have fantasy-viable players up and down their roster.  New England: Tom Brady, James White, Sony Michel, Julian Edelman, Mohammed Sanu and Pats DST Philadelphia: Carson Wentz, Jordan Howard, Alshon Jeffery, Zach Ertz Houston: Deshaun Watson, DeAndre Hopkins  Jacksonville: Leonard Fournette, D.J. Chark There are some fantasy heavy-hitters in that list above. But the more important fac...

Your Guide to DFS Week 1

Chris Carson has the perfect storm to make him one of the best  plays on the entire DFS slate in Week 1.  The news broke a few months ago that sports betting and -- more importantly -- daily fantasy was going to be legalized in the lovely state of Iowa. Allegedly, they were both to be ready to roll by the start of the NFL season. Fast forward to, well, right now, and we're sitting with only ONE of those being legalized. Not sure if you noticed, but the NFL season started Thursday. Way to go, Iowa. Or DraftKings. Or government.  I don't know who the hell to blame, so I'll blame them all.  TRIGGERED!  Breathe in. Breathe out. Breathe in. Breathe out.  Okay. We're good now. ... Still triggered. But good enough to move on.  You came here for the DFS plays -- though I'm not sure what the actual F you're doing listening to me -- so let's outline how this ditty is going down each week.  How it's going to wo...